The same day Gavin Newsom emerged as a presidential frontrunner, an unwelcome surprise arrived that could shadow his potential 2028 campaign. Senator Alex Padilla stunned the governor on November 4 by declaring he would not run, depriving Newsom of his preferred successor just as he triumphed in a statewide redistricting referendum.
Newsom has resisted endorsing any alternative candidate ahead of the June 2 primary. With no clear Democratic frontrunner, he wants to maintain good relations with whoever wins, making the race's outcome critical for his own ambitions.
The winner will play a pivotal role in Newsom's candidacy. He needs a competent governor who can manage the state during his campaign years, as Republican attacks on his governance are expected to intensify.
Several strong contenders either opted out or withdrew from the race. Lieutenant Governor Eleni Kounalakis dropped out last August, Attorney General Rob Bonta decided not to run, former Vice President Kamala Harris declined, and former Representative Eric Swalwell exited after sexual misconduct allegations, which he has denied.
The governor's cautious approach avoids alienating potential allies, but it also leaves him exposed to uncertainty. Without a clear ally in the statehouse, Newsom's national campaign could face distractions from California's political dynamics.