The International Monetary Fund and International Energy Agency have issued stark warnings about the economic fallout from the ongoing conflict in Iran. Their reports, released as the war approaches its seventh week, follow a fragile ceasefire announced on April 8. Both institutions project increasingly severe consequences should hostilities persist.

While the specific reports don't quantify emissions impacts, prolonged conflict in a major oil-producing region typically disrupts energy markets and complicates global climate goals. The IEA's involvement suggests significant concern about energy security and the transition trajectory.